SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 53.97%. A win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest NK Varazdin win was 2-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NK Varazdin | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
23.31% ( -0.25) | 22.71% ( 0.01) | 53.97% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 57.37% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.51% ( -0.32) | 42.49% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.11% ( -0.32) | 64.89% ( 0.32) |
| NK Varazdin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.05% ( -0.38) | 31.95% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.6% ( -0.44) | 68.4% ( 0.44) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.3% ( -0.03) | 15.7% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.23% ( -0.05) | 44.77% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Varazdin | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 23.31% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 6.05% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.8% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 53.97% |
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