SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 15.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.66%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | NK Varazdin |
60.58% ( 0.7) | 23.61% ( -0.11) | 15.82% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 42.55% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44% ( -0.48) | 56% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.91% ( -0.39) | 77.09% ( 0.39) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.78% ( 0.08) | 18.22% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.75% ( 0.13) | 49.25% ( -0.13) |
| NK Varazdin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.04% ( -1.07) | 47.97% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.8% ( -0.8) | 83.21% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | NK Varazdin |
| 1-0 @ 14.88% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.29)2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.96% Total : 60.57% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.51% Total : 23.6% | 0-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.04% Total : 15.82% |
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