Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Osijek had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Osijek win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.12) 
