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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 33
May 4, 2024 at 4pm UK
Gradski Stadion

Slaven Koprivnica
4 - 1
Gorica

Mioc (49', 82' pen.), Bozic (61'), Maric (90+5')
Radeljic (0')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vujnovic (33')
Matkovic (93+2')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Slaven Koprivnica and Gorica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istra 1961 3-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Friday, April 26 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-3 Osijek
Sunday, April 28 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slaven Koprivnica win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slaven Koprivnica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Gorica win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slaven Koprivnica would win this match.

Result
Slaven KoprivnicaDrawGorica
39.15% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07) 27.81% (0.052999999999997 0.05) 33.04% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.04% (-0.156 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.2% (-0.195 -0.2)57.8% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.47% (-0.156 -0.16)78.53% (0.15599999999999 0.16)
Slaven Koprivnica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)28.74% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)64.58% (0.167 0.17)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)32.58% (0.092000000000006 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (-0.105 -0.11)69.12% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Slaven Koprivnica 39.15%
    Gorica 33.03%
    Draw 27.81%
Slaven KoprivnicaDrawGorica
1-0 @ 11.67% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.28%
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 39.15%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.36% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 10.5% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.89% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 33.03%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Istra 1961 3-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Friday, April 26 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 0-1 Hajduk Split
Saturday, April 20 at 6.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 1-3 Slaven Koprivnica
Friday, April 12 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 0-1 Varazdin
Saturday, April 6 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 0-1 Osijek
Friday, March 29 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 0-1 Rijeka
Saturday, March 16 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-3 Osijek
Sunday, April 28 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 3-0 Gorica
Sunday, April 21 at 6.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, April 13 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 1-1 Gorica
Saturday, April 6 at 3.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 2-4 Gorica
Saturday, March 30 at 1.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-0 Gorica
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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