SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Istra 1961 win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Istra 1961 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Gorica win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NK Istra 1961 | Draw | Gorica |
44.13% ( 0.35) | 27.7% ( 0.43) | 28.17% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 46.44% ( -1.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.1% ( -1.9) | 58.9% ( 1.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.61% ( -1.49) | 79.39% ( 1.49) |
| NK Istra 1961 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% ( -0.69) | 26.54% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.25% ( -0.92) | 61.75% ( 0.93) |
| Gorica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.22% ( -1.65) | 36.78% ( 1.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.43% ( -1.68) | 73.57% ( 1.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Istra 1961 | Draw | Gorica |
| 1-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.66) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 44.12% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.68)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.83% Total : 28.17% |
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