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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2023 at 5pm UK
Gradski Stadion

Slaven Koprivnica
3 - 2
Varazdin

Strkalj (16', 82'), Hoxha (18')
Stefulj (29'), Liber (31'), Strkalj (83'), Susak (90+4')
Liber (68')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Pellumbi (31'), Elezi (38')
Jelenic (40'), Nekic (72')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Slaven Koprivnica and NK Varazdin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 1-0 Osijek
Saturday, September 30 at 6.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Gorica
Saturday, September 30 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slaven Koprivnica win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slaven Koprivnica win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest NK Varazdin win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slaven Koprivnica would win this match.

Result
Slaven KoprivnicaDrawNK Varazdin
38.18% (-0.321 -0.32) 26.16% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03) 35.66% (0.346 0.35)
Both teams to score 53.65% (0.132 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.1% (0.152 0.15)50.89% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.22% (0.132 0.13)72.77% (-0.137 -0.14)
Slaven Koprivnica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.108 -0.11)26.02% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.143 -0.14)61.05% (0.137 0.14)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (0.279 0.28)27.47% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03% (0.36300000000001 0.36)62.96% (-0.369 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Slaven Koprivnica 38.18%
    NK Varazdin 35.66%
    Draw 26.15%
Slaven KoprivnicaDrawNK Varazdin
1-0 @ 9.62% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 38.18%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 9.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.03% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.57% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 35.66%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 1-0 Osijek
Saturday, September 30 at 6.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 0-1 Rijeka
Sunday, September 24 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Saturday, September 16 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 0-1 NK Lokomotiva
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-2 Slaven Koprivnica
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 2-2 Istra 1961
Saturday, August 19 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Gorica
Saturday, September 30 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 1-1 Varazdin
Friday, September 22 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, September 17 at 6.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 2-2 Varazdin
Sunday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-2 Hajduk Split
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 2-0 Rudes
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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