SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Gorica win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for NK Varazdin in this match.
| Result | ||
| NK Varazdin | Draw | Gorica |
37.27% ( -7.44) | 27.21% ( 0.08) | 35.52% ( 7.36) |
| Both teams to score 50.22% ( 2.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.77% ( 1.66) | 55.22% ( -1.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.54% ( 1.35) | 76.46% ( -1.35) |
| NK Varazdin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.4% ( -3.27) | 28.6% ( 3.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.6% ( -4.29) | 64.4% ( 4.29) |
| Gorica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% ( 6.04) | 29.66% ( -6.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.29% ( 6.76) | 65.71% ( -6.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Varazdin | Draw | Gorica |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( -1.8) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.7)2-0 @ 6.65% ( -1.88)3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.65)3-0 @ 2.77% ( -1.13)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.33)Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.26% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.56)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.39)Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.99) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 1.26)0-2 @ 6.26% ( 1.47)1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.92)0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.89)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.44)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.38)Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.51% |
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