SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 68.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 13.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | NK Varazdin |
68.51% ( 1.56) | 18.35% ( -0.53) | 13.15% ( -1.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.15% ( -1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.43% ( 0.03) | 39.57% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.08% ( 0.03) | 61.92% ( -0.03) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.47% ( 0.41) | 10.53% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.76% ( 0.91) | 34.24% ( -0.91) |
| NK Varazdin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.29% ( -1.49) | 41.71% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.81% ( -1.34) | 78.19% ( 1.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | NK Varazdin |
| 2-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.35) 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.4)3-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.3)4-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.17)5-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.36% Total : 68.5% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.35% | 0-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.5% Total : 13.15% |
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