SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.03%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Ahli | Draw | Al-Rayyan |
32.68% ( 0.25) | 22.28% ( 0) | 45.05% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 66.88% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.66% ( 0.09) | 33.34% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.88% ( 0.1) | 55.12% ( -0.1) |
| Al Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.12% ( 0.18) | 20.88% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.42% ( 0.27) | 53.58% ( -0.28) |
| Al-Rayyan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.53% ( -0.06) | 15.47% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.66% ( -0.11) | 44.34% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ahli | Draw | Al-Rayyan |
| 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.06% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.8% Total : 32.68% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.28% | 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.48% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.29% 0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 45.05% |
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