SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 58.14%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 22% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.04%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Rayyan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Rayyan | Draw | Al Ahli |
58.14% ( -1.1) | 19.86% ( 0.29) | 22% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 66.03% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.61% ( -0.31) | 30.39% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.34% ( -0.38) | 51.66% ( 0.38) |
| Al-Rayyan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.52% ( -0.37) | 10.48% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.88% ( -0.84) | 34.11% ( 0.84) |
| Al Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% ( 0.48) | 26.24% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.65% ( 0.64) | 61.35% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Rayyan | Draw | Al Ahli |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 58.14% | 1-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.45% Total : 19.86% | 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.01% Total : 22% |
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