SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 43%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.48%) and 1-3 (5.27%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al-Rayyan |
34.92% ( 1.13) | 22.08% ( 0.1) | 43% ( -1.23) |
| Both teams to score 68.47% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.4% ( -0.16) | 31.6% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.91% ( -0.18) | 53.09% ( 0.18) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.06% ( 0.48) | 18.93% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.56% ( 0.79) | 50.44% ( -0.79) |
| Al-Rayyan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.46% ( -0.51) | 15.53% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.54% ( -0.96) | 44.46% ( 0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al-Rayyan |
| 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.65% Total : 34.92% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.43% ( 0)Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.08% | 1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.27% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 2.45% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.1)3-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.11% Total : 43% |
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