SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Al Ahli had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 1-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for an Al Ahli win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Arabi | Draw | Al Ahli |
59.55% ( 0.09) | 20.51% ( -0.03) | 19.93% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 60.11% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.41% ( 0.03) | 36.59% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.26% ( 0.03) | 58.74% ( -0.03) |
| Al Arabi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.98% ( 0.03) | 12.02% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.51% ( 0.07) | 37.49% ( -0.07) |
| Al Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% ( -0.05) | 31.68% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.91% ( -0.05) | 68.09% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Arabi | Draw | Al Ahli |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.99% 4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.27% Total : 59.55% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.51% | 1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 19.93% |
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