SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.12%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Gharafa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Umm Salal | Draw | Al Gharafa |
33.55% ( -0.04) | 22.49% ( -0.01) | 43.97% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 66.43% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.92% ( 0.03) | 34.08% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.05% ( 0.03) | 55.95% ( -0.03) |
| Umm Salal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% ( -0.01) | 20.77% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.59% ( -0.01) | 53.41% ( 0.01) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.85% ( 0.03) | 16.16% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.4% ( 0.05) | 45.61% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Umm Salal | Draw | Al Gharafa |
| 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.86% Total : 33.55% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.12% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.18% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.91% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0)3-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.74% Total : 43.97% |
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