SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Gharafa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al Ahli |
45.36% ( 0.01) | 23.22% | 31.42% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.69% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.41% | 38.58% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.11% | 60.88% ( -0) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.6% ( 0) | 17.4% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.18% ( 0) | 47.82% ( -0.01) |
| Al Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.89% ( -0.01) | 24.11% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.6% ( -0.01) | 58.4% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al Ahli |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% 1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.78% 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 4.03% Total : 45.36% | 1-1 @ 10.43% 2-2 @ 6.49% 0-0 @ 4.19% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.42% |
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