SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.45%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Umm Salal |
47.3% ( -0.08) | 22.26% ( 0.03) | 30.44% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 65.73% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.63% ( -0.12) | 34.37% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.72% ( -0.14) | 56.29% ( 0.13) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.94% ( -0.08) | 15.06% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.43% ( -0.14) | 43.58% ( 0.14) |
| Umm Salal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% ( -0.03) | 22.62% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.76% ( -0.04) | 56.24% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Umm Salal |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 47.3% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.26% | 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 3.21% Total : 30.45% |
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