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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umm Salal win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Al Markhiya had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.76%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Al Markhiya win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Markhiya | Draw | Umm Salal |
27.65% ( 1.36) | 21.92% ( 0.4) | 50.43% ( -1.76) |
| Both teams to score 64.88% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.38% ( -0.8) | 34.61% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.44% ( -0.91) | 56.56% ( 0.91) |
| Al Markhiya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% ( 0.49) | 24.47% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.08% ( 0.69) | 58.92% ( -0.68) |
| Umm Salal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.9% ( -0.83) | 14.09% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.29% ( -1.66) | 41.71% ( 1.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Markhiya | Draw | Umm Salal |
| 2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.67% Total : 27.65% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.92% | 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 6.09% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 2.98% ( -0.21)0-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.18)2-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.12)1-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.12)3-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.68% Total : 50.43% |
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