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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahli win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Ahli | Draw | Umm Salal |
40.53% ( 0.34) | 23.34% ( 0.45) | 36.14% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 63.88% ( -1.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.31% ( -2.37) | 37.69% ( 2.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.07% ( -2.59) | 59.93% ( 2.59) |
| Al Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( -0.85) | 19.04% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.38% ( -1.43) | 50.62% ( 1.44) |
| Umm Salal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( -1.45) | 21.1% ( 1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.07% ( -2.31) | 53.94% ( 2.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ahli | Draw | Umm Salal |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.57)2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 40.53% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.44)3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.44)0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.83% Total : 36.14% |
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