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Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 15
Feb 29, 2024 at 5pm UK
Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium

Al Ahli
1 - 2
Umm Salal

Yansane (4')
Tihi (85'), Doumbia (86')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Lekhal (32'), Al-Nasr (45+4')
Louadni (18'), Tannane (82'), Barimil (90+4')
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Al Ahli and Umm Salal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Gharafa 1-2 Al Ahli
Saturday, February 24 at 5pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Qatar SC 1-1 Umm Salal
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahli win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Al AhliDrawUmm Salal
40.53% (0.344 0.34) 23.34% (0.45 0.45) 36.14% (-0.793 -0.79)
Both teams to score 63.88% (-1.858 -1.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.31% (-2.374 -2.37)37.69% (2.375 2.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.07% (-2.589 -2.59)59.93% (2.591 2.59)
Al Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.96% (-0.852 -0.85)19.04% (0.853 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.38% (-1.433 -1.43)50.62% (1.435 1.44)
Umm Salal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (-1.448 -1.45)21.1% (1.449 1.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07% (-2.309 -2.31)53.94% (2.31 2.31)
Score Analysis
    Al Ahli 40.53%
    Umm Salal 36.14%
    Draw 23.33%
Al AhliDrawUmm Salal
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.152 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.66% (0.572 0.57)
2-0 @ 5.53% (0.335 0.34)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-0 @ 3.06% (0.106 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 40.53%
1-1 @ 10.36% (0.449 0.45)
2-2 @ 6.69% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-0 @ 4.02% (0.443 0.44)
3-3 @ 1.92% (-0.199 -0.2)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.33%
1-2 @ 8.07% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.436 0.44)
0-2 @ 4.86% (0.132 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.18% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.258 -0.26)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 36.14%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Al Gharafa 1-2 Al Ahli
Saturday, February 24 at 5pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al-Duhail 3-5 Al Ahli
Thursday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Wakrah 3-2 Al Ahli
Friday, December 8 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Ahli 0-4 Al-Rayyan
Saturday, December 2 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Markhiya 0-2 Al Ahli
Friday, November 24 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Ahli 1-2 Al Shamal
Friday, November 3 at 2.30pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Qatar SC 1-1 Umm Salal
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al-Sadd 6-0 Umm Salal
Thursday, December 21 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Umm Salal 1-1 Al Markhiya
Friday, December 8 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al-Duhail 0-1 Umm Salal
Friday, December 1 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Umm Salal 1-2 Al Gharafa
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Mu'aidar 1-3 Umm Salal
Thursday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Qatar Stars League


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