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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umm Salal win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Al Wakrah had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.67%) and 2-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Al Wakrah win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Umm Salal | Draw | Al Wakrah |
41.51% ( 0.4) | 22.4% ( -0.07) | 36.09% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 67.52% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.06% ( 0.3) | 32.94% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.34% ( 0.35) | 54.65% ( -0.35) |
| Umm Salal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.35% ( 0.28) | 16.65% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.5% ( 0.51) | 46.49% ( -0.51) |
| Al Wakrah Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.01% ( -0.02) | 18.98% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.46% ( -0.03) | 50.53% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Umm Salal | Draw | Al Wakrah |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.51% Total : 41.51% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.88% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 36.09% |
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