Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
East Fife | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
32.38% ( -0.06) | 26.27% ( 0.02) | 41.35% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 52.6% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.07% ( -0.11) | 51.93% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.32% ( -0.09) | 73.67% ( 0.09) |
East Fife Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.95% ( -0.1) | 30.04% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.82% ( -0.11) | 66.17% ( 0.11) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.19% ( -0.03) | 24.8% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.61% ( -0.04) | 59.38% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
East Fife | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 32.38% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 41.34% |
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