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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | East Fife |
40.84% ( -0.31) | 25.64% ( 0.21) | 33.52% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.01% ( -0.88) | 48.98% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.93% ( -0.81) | 71.07% ( 0.8) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% ( -0.54) | 23.75% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.1% ( -0.79) | 57.9% ( 0.79) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% ( -0.37) | 27.86% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.53% ( -0.48) | 63.46% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | East Fife |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.84% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.84% Total : 33.52% |
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