SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 69.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for St Johnstone Under-21s had a probability of 11.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a St Johnstone Under-21s win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | St Johnstone Under-21s |
69.55% ( 6.49) | 18.59% ( -2.84) | 11.87% ( -3.64) |
| Both teams to score 47.33% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.11% ( 4.28) | 43.89% ( -4.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.72% ( 4.05) | 66.28% ( -4.04) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.54% ( 3.2) | 11.47% ( -3.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.7% ( 6.5) | 36.3% ( -6.5) |
| St Johnstone Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.46% ( -2.87) | 46.55% ( 2.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.86% ( -2.29) | 82.14% ( 2.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | St Johnstone Under-21s |
| 2-0 @ 12.51% ( 0.71) 1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.73)2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 9.04% ( 1.48)3-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.65)4-0 @ 4.89% ( 1.27)4-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.74)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.73)5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.47)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.19)Other @ 3.51% Total : 69.53% | 1-1 @ 8.84% ( -1.34) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -1.06)2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.39)Other @ 0.75% Total : 18.59% | 0-1 @ 4.08% ( -1.22) 1-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.84)0-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.64)2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.19)Other @ 1.92% Total : 11.87% |
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