Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for St Johnstone Under-21s had a probability of 25.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest St Johnstone Under-21s win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.17) 
