Hibernian U21s
1 - 2
Elgin

M (89')
J (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hester (30', 51')
Little (67')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Hibernian Under-21s and Elgin City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 88.46%. A draw had a probability of 7.6% and a win for Hibernian Under-21s had a probability of 3.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-3 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.18%), while for a Hibernian Under-21s win it was 2-1 (1.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.

Result
Hibernian Under-21s	Draw	Elgin City
3.97%	7.57%	88.46%

Both teams to score 53.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

83.11%

16.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

66.44%

33.55%

Hibernian Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.93%

45.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.01%

80.99%

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.64%

2.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

88.8%

11.19%

Score Analysis

Hibernian Under-21s 3.97%

Elgin City 88.46%

Draw 7.57%

Hibernian Under-21s	Draw	Elgin City
2-1 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.7% Total : 3.97%	1-1 @ 3.18% 2-2 @ 2.38% 0-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.96% Total : 7.57%	0-3 @ 9.36% 0-4 @ 8.78% 0-2 @ 7.48% 1-3 @ 7.46% 1-4 @ 7% 0-5 @ 6.59% 1-2 @ 5.96% 1-5 @ 5.26% 0-6 @ 4.13% 0-1 @ 3.98% 1-6 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.97% 2-4 @ 2.79% 0-7 @ 2.21% 2-5 @ 2.09% 1-7 @ 1.76% 2-6 @ 1.31% 0-8 @ 1.04% Other @ 5% Total : 88.46%