Elgin
1 - 3
Kelty Hearts

Little (5')
Cooper (16'), Dingwall (21'), Hester (45+2'), Mailer (50'), McHardy (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Russell (52'), Austin (76', 87')
Forster (45+2'), McNab (65')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Elgin City and Kelty Hearts.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.66%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.

Result
Elgin City	Draw	Kelty Hearts
28.59%	22.05%	49.35%

Both teams to score 65.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.44%

34.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.5%

56.5%

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.16%

23.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.98%

58.02%

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.57%

14.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.64%

42.36%

Score Analysis

Elgin City 28.59%

Kelty Hearts 49.35%

Draw 22.05%

Elgin City	Draw	Kelty Hearts
2-1 @ 6.85% 1-0 @ 4.93% 2-0 @ 3.54% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.59%	1-1 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 3.44% 3-3 @ 2.04% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.05%	1-2 @ 9.24% 0-1 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 6.45% 1-3 @ 5.96% 2-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 4.16% 1-4 @ 2.89% 2-4 @ 2.07% 0-4 @ 2.01% 1-5 @ 1.12% 3-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.53% Total : 49.35%