Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Rotor Volgograd win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.