Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.