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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 21, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
Arena Khimki

Dynamo Moscow
5 - 1
Arsenal Tula

Szymanski (15'), Balbuena (22'), Grulyov (25', 27'), Zakharyan (60')
Balbuena (74'), Makarov (82')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Khlusevich (85')
Kostadinov (7'), Radakovic (58'), Kangwa (90')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Dynamo Moscow and Arsenal Tula.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.

Result
Dynamo MoscowDrawArsenal Tula
59.52%23.07%17.4%
Both teams to score 47.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.35%51.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.57%73.43%
Dynamo Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.98%17.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.84%47.16%
Arsenal Tula Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.7%43.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.46%79.54%
Score Analysis
    Dynamo Moscow 59.52%
    Arsenal Tula 17.4%
    Draw 23.07%
Dynamo MoscowDrawArsenal Tula
1-0 @ 13.05%
2-0 @ 11.55%
2-1 @ 9.67%
3-0 @ 6.82%
3-1 @ 5.71%
4-0 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.53%
3-2 @ 2.39%
5-0 @ 1.07%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 59.52%
1-1 @ 10.92%
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 23.07%
0-1 @ 6.17%
1-2 @ 4.57%
0-2 @ 2.58%
1-3 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 17.4%

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