SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 64.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 15.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 1-0 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Tula | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 15.42% | 20.22% | 64.37% |
| Both teams to score 51.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.86% | 43.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.46% | 65.55% |
| Arsenal Tula Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.27% | 40.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.68% | 77.32% |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.32% | 12.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.14% | 38.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Tula | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 4.64% 2-1 @ 4.3% 2-0 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.33% 3-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.78% Total : 15.42% | 1-1 @ 9.58% 0-0 @ 5.16% 2-2 @ 4.44% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.22% | 0-2 @ 11.01% 0-1 @ 10.66% 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-3 @ 7.58% 1-3 @ 6.81% 0-4 @ 3.92% 1-4 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 3.06% 0-5 @ 1.62% 2-4 @ 1.58% 1-5 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.26% Total : 64.36% |
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