Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ufa win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Ufa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Arsenal Tula win was 1-0 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.