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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 23, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Olimp-2

Rostov
4 - 0
Arsenal Tula

Hashimoto (27'), Sowe (29'), Poloz (62' pen.), Terentyev (64')
Hashimoto (26'), Sukhomlinov (72'), Bastos (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Rostov and Arsenal Tula.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 44.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 27.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 0-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.

Result
RostovDrawArsenal Tula
44.48%28.11%27.41%
Both teams to score 44.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.34%60.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.26%80.73%
Rostov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82%27.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41%62.59%
Arsenal Tula Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.62%38.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.87%75.13%
Score Analysis
    Rostov 44.47%
    Arsenal Tula 27.41%
    Draw 28.11%
RostovDrawArsenal Tula
1-0 @ 13.58%
2-0 @ 8.85%
2-1 @ 8.48%
3-0 @ 3.84%
3-1 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.25%
4-1 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 44.47%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 10.43%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.11%
0-1 @ 9.99%
1-2 @ 6.23%
0-2 @ 4.78%
1-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.53%
2-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 27.41%

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