SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 16.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.63%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Fakel win it was 1-0 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
16.36% ( -0.08) | 24.47% ( -0.08) | 59.17% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 41.38% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.81% ( 0.15) | 58.19% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.16% ( 0.12) | 78.84% ( -0.12) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.46% ( -0.01) | 48.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.37% ( -0.01) | 83.63% ( 0.01) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.42% ( 0.12) | 19.58% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.5% ( 0.19) | 51.5% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 16.36% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 24.47% | 0-1 @ 15.49% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 12.63% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.87% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 59.15% |
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