Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for FC Tambov had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a FC Tambov win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Krasnodar in this match.