Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.