Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 11.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.58%) and 3-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.53%), while for a FC Krasnodar win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.