Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
