Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 16.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a FC Krasnodar win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
