Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 72.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for FC Tambov had a probability of 9.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.51%) and 0-3 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a FC Tambov win it was 1-0 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.
