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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 27
Apr 24, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
LM

Tambov
2 - 5
Lokomotiv

Aliev (45+2'), Kaykov (78')
Bavin (49'), Arkhipov (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Krychowiak (40', 60'), Smolov (47'), Cerqueira (74'), Rybus (80')
Magkeev (26')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between FC Tambov and Lokomotiv Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 72.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for FC Tambov had a probability of 9.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.51%) and 0-3 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a FC Tambov win it was 1-0 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.

Result
FC TambovDrawLokomotiv Moscow
9.69%17.53%72.78%
Both teams to score 43.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.72%45.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.38%67.62%
FC Tambov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.44%51.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.29%85.71%
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.01%10.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.74%35.26%
Score Analysis
    FC Tambov 9.69%
    Lokomotiv Moscow 72.76%
    Draw 17.53%
FC TambovDrawLokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 3.75%
2-1 @ 2.75%
2-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 9.69%
1-1 @ 8.29%
0-0 @ 5.67%
2-2 @ 3.03%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 17.53%
0-2 @ 13.81%
0-1 @ 12.51%
0-3 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 9.15%
1-3 @ 6.74%
0-4 @ 5.61%
1-4 @ 3.72%
0-5 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 2.23%
1-5 @ 1.64%
2-4 @ 1.23%
0-6 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 72.76%

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