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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 25
Apr 11, 2021 at 5pm UK
Lokomotiv Stadium

Lokomotiv
2 - 0
Spartak Moscow

Kamano (22'), Smolov (45+2')
Barinov (55'), Mukhin (58'), Marinato (74'), Kamano (76'), Zhemaletdinov (84'), Zhivoglyadov (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sobolev (23'), Dzhikiya (76'), Maslov (85')
Lucas (45')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Spartak Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawSpartak Moscow
36.47%25.36%38.17%
Both teams to score 56.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.69%47.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.47%69.54%
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.68%25.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.9%60.1%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61%24.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2%58.8%
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 36.47%
    Spartak Moscow 38.17%
    Draw 25.35%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawSpartak Moscow
1-0 @ 8.48%
2-1 @ 8.22%
2-0 @ 5.83%
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-0 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 0.92%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 36.47%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 6.18%
2-2 @ 5.8%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 8.71%
1-2 @ 8.44%
0-2 @ 6.15%
1-3 @ 3.97%
0-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.73%
1-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.02%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 38.17%

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