Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 73.65%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for FC Tambov had a probability of 9.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.86%) and 0-3 (10.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a FC Tambov win it was 1-0 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.