Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 70.67%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for FC Tambov had a probability of 11.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a FC Tambov win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.
