Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Tula win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for FC Tambov had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Tula win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest FC Tambov win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Tula would win this match.