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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 28
Jul 11, 2020 at 2pm UK
Arsenal Stadium

Arsenal Tula
2 - 1
Tambov

Panteleev (20' pen.), Lutsenko (84')
Kostadinov (8'), Panteleev (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kostyukov (55')
Tetrashvili (18')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Arsenal Tula and FC Tambov.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Tula win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for FC Tambov had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Tula win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest FC Tambov win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Tula would win this match.

Result
Arsenal TulaDrawFC Tambov
41.97%26.81%31.21%
Both teams to score 50.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.54%54.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.17%75.83%
Arsenal Tula Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37%25.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48%60.52%
FC Tambov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.87%32.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.39%68.61%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Tula 41.97%
    FC Tambov 31.21%
    Draw 26.81%
Arsenal TulaDrawFC Tambov
1-0 @ 11.21%
2-1 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 7.63%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-0 @ 3.46%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 41.97%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 8.24%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.35%
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 5.31%
1-3 @ 2.74%
0-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.21%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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