Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a FC Ufa win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for CSKA Moscow in this match.