Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Tula win with a probability of 48.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 24.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Tula win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a FC Ufa win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.