Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.