Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Spartak Moscow win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.