Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Khimki win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Khimki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Arsenal Tula win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Khimki in this match.
