Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 47.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 0-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.