Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Khimki win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Khimki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.