SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 53.6%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
53.6% ( -0.44) | 23.01% ( -0.33) | 23.38% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 56.45% ( 2.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.25% ( 2.26) | 43.75% ( -2.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.86% ( 2.17) | 66.14% ( -2.17) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.72% ( 0.66) | 16.28% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.16% ( 1.18) | 45.83% ( -1.18) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.43% ( 1.93) | 32.57% ( -1.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.89% ( 2.1) | 69.11% ( -2.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.74)2-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.48)3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.32% Total : 53.6% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.28)0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.54)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.48% Total : 23.38% |
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