SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 1-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Fakel win was 1-0 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Krylia Sovetov in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
31.07% ( -0.06) | 29.54% ( -0.01) | 39.39% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 42.79% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.95% ( 0.03) | 64.05% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.78% ( 0.02) | 83.22% ( -0.02) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.67% ( -0.03) | 37.33% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.88% ( -0.03) | 74.12% ( 0.03) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.29% ( 0.06) | 31.71% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.87% ( 0.07) | 68.13% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 1-0 @ 11.66% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.76% Total : 31.07% | 1-1 @ 13.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0)Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.53% | 0-1 @ 13.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 39.38% |
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